Still waiting for the other shoe to drop

As expected I got stopped out of one of my bets last Monday. I dumped my short of the Dow at $26.16 for a loss of $6.00 on the transaction. YTD list of buys and sells below. 

Fund	Date Bought	Price Paid	Date Sold	Price Sold	Gain/Loss Per Share	Total Gain	Total Loss
GDX	1/18/2014	$22.00	3/19/2014	$26.00	$4.00	$400.00
DUG	1/6/2014	$50.79	1/22/2014	$51.23	$0.44	$44.00
UBT	1/6/2014	$53.50	2/20/2015	$55.34	$1.84	$184.00
SCO	12/30/2013	$34.42	1/22/2014	$34.45	$0.03	$3.00
DXD	1/22/2014	$27.98	2/10/2014	$29.90	$1.92	$192.00
UCO	1/22/2014	$29.01	3/5/2014	$33.94	$4.93	$493.00
DZZ	1/30/2014	$7.20	2/3/2014	$7.02	-$0.18		-$18.00
DDM	2/10/2014	$104.61	3/13/2014	$109.41	$4.80	$480.00
DIG	2//11/2014	$62.74	3/11/2014	$69.90	$7.16	$716.00
UBT	2/24/2014	$56.04	3/6/2014	$56.24	$0.24	$24.00
UBT	3/13/2014	$56.69	3/11/2014	$61.55	$4.86	$486.00
SCO	3/12/2014	$29.89	3/26/2014	$29.56	-$0.33		-$33.00
DXD	3/13/2014	$28.44	3/17/2014	$27.96	$0.48		$48.00
DZZ	3/25/2014	$6.36	4/4/2014	$6.44	$0.08	$8.00
SCO	7/15/2014	$27.22	7/16/2014	$26.55	$0.67	$6.70
DXD	7/31/2014	$26.22	7/11/2014	$26.16	$0.06		$6.00
SCO	7/30/2014	$26.38
						$3,030.00	-$111.70
						Total Gains	Total Losses

This leaves me with one bet on the table which is my wager on the price of crude going down. Model Portfolio below. 

SCO	100	26.38	29.23	$-55.00	$+285.00	+10.80%	$2,923.00
Total				$ -55.00	$ 285.00	10.80%	$ 2,923.00

I am already up 10.8% in just a couple of weeks which leads me to the eternal dilemma facing gamblers. The conservative move would be to sell now and take the 10% gain. The greedy move would be to hold out for maybe a 15% gain before exiting. Being as this is gambling and not investing I'll be real greedy and hope for a 20%er. As usual I will keep you posted. I still think we have a modest correction in store between now and November. After that I see a parabolic move up to 20,000 on the dow by late 2015 and then a virtual collapse after that in 2016. My current plan is to pick up a little on the mini correction this fall, then ride the parabolic move up to late 2015 and then short everything during the coming collapse. Ah to dream, perchance to dream.