As you can see the first buy signal would have come at the 25.15 level. To generate a buy or sell signal the price must cross the line and stay there the next trading day. In this case that would have been 25.15. I would sell today because I think the correction has run it's course which would be in the neighborhood of 10%. I could be wrong but no one ever went broke taking profits. Shorting portfolio with results below. Paid 25.15 and sold at 27.21 for a pick up of 8%.
DXD | 100 | 25.15 | 27.21 | +0.13 | $+13.00 | $+206.00 | +8.19% | $2,721.00 |
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Total | $ +13.00 | $ 206.00 | 8.19% | $ 2,721.00 |
Below are my current actual results for shorting oil which is the fund I chose rather than shorting the Dow. As you can see I have picked up almost 36% so far. I have a gut feeling oil has more downside to it so I'm going to hold off selling it for now. I may regret this decision but I have enough profit built in that taking a smaller gain wouldn't be all that bad.
DUG | 100 | 39.75 | 52.76 | -1.95 | $-195.00 | $+1,301.00 | +32.73% | $5,276.00 |
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SCO | 100 | 26.38 | 37.10 | -1.21 | $-121.00 | $+1,072.00 | +40.64% | $3,710.00 |
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Total | $ -316.00 | $ 2,373.00 | 35.88% | $ 8,986.00 |
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